Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 28.903459 30.906916 33.070714 35.598015 38.490735 41.725544 45.655915
2025-11-09 25.434520 28.024954 30.983106 34.664647 39.203876 44.733582 52.177843
2025-11-16 23.225079 26.028890 29.335655 33.611854 39.138958 46.270931 56.611030
2025-11-23 22.269066 25.352556 29.100915 34.131421 40.949307 50.296970 65.025983
2025-11-30 21.260614 24.491218 28.509727 34.061243 41.878917 53.160112 72.316489
2025-12-07 20.295647 23.595957 27.776386 33.688128 42.281689 55.241070 78.798887
2025-12-14 19.044945 22.252943 26.356999 32.236509 40.938230 54.401300 79.908447
2025-12-21 18.501617 21.790127 26.064317 32.317279 41.849666 57.250917 88.644305
2025-12-28 18.119884 21.511291 25.990506 32.686568 43.218315 61.059403 100.652956
2026-01-04 17.412686 20.760946 25.221918 31.970608 42.772972 61.580297 105.538074
2026-01-11 17.198318 20.661029 25.346140 32.586674 44.553341 66.488450 123.346532
2026-01-18 16.908829 20.441300 25.282835 32.901976 45.849978 70.713391 142.022696
2026-01-25 16.377976 19.939996 24.893873 32.854089 46.832662 75.247999 168.597339
2026-02-01 15.641418 19.128052 24.022092 31.992000 46.291250 76.504177 186.316324
2026-02-08 14.965489 18.365344 23.172427 31.084388 45.527710 77.038972 202.391819
2026-02-15 14.700623 18.170616 23.151584 31.535202 47.419878 84.649031 270.725161
2026-02-22 14.331545 17.805966 22.847936 31.474355 48.282096 89.962013 348.021766
2026-03-01 13.928931 17.373864 22.414940 31.149960 48.548890 93.741612 438.174893
2026-03-08 13.334624 16.640184 21.482027 29.884332 46.664354 90.494407 433.896407
2026-03-15 13.083723 16.401777 21.309528 29.954906 47.686063 96.788073 632.719584
2026-03-22 12.904568 16.260917 21.280643 30.277346 49.316407 105.994952 1221.915024
2026-03-29 12.533714 15.820929 20.755614 29.651871 48.682816 106.822864 1659.216343
2026-04-05 12.426731 15.772127 20.854102 30.190162 50.880560 119.938694 66536.391343